Interested Article - Парламентские выборы в Испании (апрель 2019)
cathleen
- 2020-04-10
- 1
????????????? ?????? ? ??????? ? 2019 ???? ?????????? ? ???????????, 28 ?????? , ? ????? ????????????, ???????????? ? ???????????? ? ????????? ???????????? 1978 ???? . ??????? 350 ?????? ????????? ????????? , ? ????? 208 ?? 260 ????????? .
????? ??????? 2016 ???? ???????? ?????? ???????????? ???????????? ????????????? ??????????? ??? ????????? ??????????? ?????? ? ????????? ???????? ? ???????????? ??????????? , ?????????????? ?? ????????? ??????? ????? ????? ???? ??? ?????? ? ???????? ?????? ?????? ????? ??????? . ??????????????? ?????? ?? ??????????? ???????? , ?????????? ??????????? ??????? , ??????????? ????? ????? , ????????????? ???????? ? ???????? ???????? ???????????, ??????????? ????????? ?????? , ??????? ? ???????? ???????????? ????????? ????????????? ???????? ?????? ? ?????????????? ??????? ? ???????? ?????? . ? ???? 2018 ???? ?????????? ?? ????? ? ????????, ????? ????????? ??????? ??????, ???????? ???????? ????????????? ?????, ????? ???? ??? ?????????, ??? ???????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ?? ?????????? ????? ??????? ?? ?????????? ? ?????????? ???? ??????????? ?????????????? ?????? ? 1989 ???? . ? ?????????? ????? ????? ? ???????? ? ????? ?????? ???????? ?????? ? ??? ??????? 37-?????? ????? ?????? .
????? ????????????? ??????????? ????????? ????? ?????? ??? ????????? ??????, ??????? ?????????? ?? ????????? ???????? ?????. ? 2018 ????, ??????? ??????????? ?????? ? ??????? ?????????? ???????????, ??????? ? ???????? ????? ?????? ?????? ?????? Vox . ????? ????, ??? 13 ??????? 2019 ???? ???????? ????????? ???????? ????????????????? ?????? ??????, ??????????? ? ??? ??????????????? ????? ????????? ? ?????????? ???????????? ????????????? ??????????? . ????? ????? ???? ?????????, ??? ???????-??????? ?????? ???????? ????????? ?????? ?? ??????, ? ?????????? ???? ????? ????????? ??????? ????????? ?????? ????????? 15 ??????? .
4 ????? ?????? ?? ????????????? ????? ????????????? ??????? ???????? ???? ? ???????? ?????????? ? ?????????? ????????? ??????? . ????????? ?????? ???? ????????? ?? 28 ??????, ????? ????? ????????? ?????? ? ????? , ????? ?? ????? ?? «????????????????», ??? ????? ???????????? ??????? ???????, ???????????? ? ??????????? ??????, ??????????? ?? 26 ??? .
????????????? ???????
??????????? ??????? ??????? ???????????? ????? ???????????? ????????? , ?????? ?????? ????????, ???????? ????????? , ???????? ??????? ??????????????? ???????, ??? ??????? ??????, ????? . ?????? ???????? ?????????? ??? ?????????? ? ???????? ???????????? ?????????????, ? ????? ?????????? ???????????? ??????? ????? ???????????? ???? ??????. ??? ?? ?????, ????? ????? ????????? ?????????????? ???????, ???? ?? ?????????? ?????????? — ??? ?????? ??????? ?????? ????????? ??????????????? ???????? — ??????? ?? ???????? ?????? ?????????? . ??????????? ?? ????????? ??????????? ???????? ???????? ?? ???????? ????????????? ????? ? ???????? ???? ??????? ??????? ?????? ???????????? ??? . ???????, ??????????? ?? ????????, ?????? ?????? ?????? ?? ??????? ? ???????????, ?????? ??? ?? ????? ????????? ?????????? .
348 ???? ? ????????? ????????? ???????????? ????? 50 ??????????????? ?????????????? ????????, ?????? ?? ??????? ????????????? ????? ?? 50 ????????? ????????? , ??? ??? ????? ???? ????????????? ??? ?????????? ??????? ????? ? ??????? . ?????? ????????? ????? ??? ????? ? ?????????, ????????? 248 ???? ?????????????? ????? ????????? ??????????????? ?? ?????????. ????? ? ?????????????? ??????? ?????????????? ????? ??????????? ???????, ???????? ? ??????????, ?? ?????? ?’????? , ? ?????????????? ???????? ??????? ? ????????????????? ????????????????? . ? ?????? ?? ?????????????? ??????? ? ????????????? ???????? ??????????? ?????? ?????? ???????? ?????????? ????? ? 3 % ?? ?????????????? ???????, ??????? ???????? ? ?????? ?????????. ???????? ?? ????? ? ??????? ?????????? ??? ? ??????? ????????????? ?????? .
???????? ???????????, ????? ???????? ??????? ???????????????? ?????????????????. 208 ??????? ? ?????? ?????????? ?? 58 ??????? ?? ?????? ????????? ?????????????? ?????, ?????????, ??????, ?????? ? ?????? ????????????, ? ?????????????? ? ????????? ?????? ???????????. ?????? ?? 47 ????????? ?? ??????????? ???????????? ????? ????????? ?????, ??????? ????? ?????? ????? ? ??????. ????????? ?????????, ?????????? ? ????????? ??????? , ????????? ?? ?????? ???????. ??? ??????? ??????, ???????? , ????-??????? ? ???????? , ???????? ?? ??? ????? ? ??????, ????? ??????, ??????? , ????? — ?????????? , ????????????? , ?????? — ????? , ????????? ? ?????? — ?? ??????. ?????????? ???????? ???????? ????? ? ???????, ?????????? ?? ??? ????????. ?????? ????, ????? ?????????? ?? ??????, ?????????? ?????? ?????? ?? ????????? ??????????. ? ???????????????? ??????? ?????????? ????? ????????????? ?? ????? ??? ?? ??? ?????????, ? ????- ? ????????????? ?? ???? ??????????, ? ????????????? ??????? ?? ?????? ?????????. ????? ????, ?????? ?? ?????????? ????????? ????? ??????? ?? ??????? ???? ?????? ???????? ? ????? ????? ?? ???? ?????????????? ????? ?? ?????? ??????? ???????. ? ?????????? ? 208 ?????????, ??????? ?????????? ????????, ??????????????? ?????? ?????????? ????????? ????? ????????? ?? ????? ?????? ????????, ????? ???? ?????? ?? ????????? ????? ????? ?? ?????? ??????????????? ???????? ?? ?????? ??????? ???????. ? ?????????? ? ????? ????????? ?????????? 266 ????????? .
????? ? ??????? ?????????????, ??? ?????? ?????????? ????? ???????????? ??????, ?????????, ???????? ? ?????? ???????????. ?????? ??????, ????????? ??? ????????, ??????? ?? ???????? ???? ?? ? ????? ?? ????? ?????????? ?? ?????????? ???????, ?????? ??????????? ? ???? ????????? ??????? ?? ????? 0,1 % ??????????? ??????, ? ?? ????? ??? ?????? ??????????? ?????? ??????????? ??????? ?? ????? 1 % ???????????. ?????????? ?? ????? ????????? ????? ?????? ?????? ??????????. ?????? ? ?????????, ??????? ???????????? ?????????????? ? ???????? ??? ??????????? ??????? ? ???????, ?????? ???????????????? ??????????????? ????????????? ???????? ? ??????? ?????? ???? ????? ??????.
?? ??????? 2019 ???? ???? ????????? ????????????????? ? ????????? ??????? ? ????????? , ? ????? ???????? ? ??????? . ????????????? ? ?????????? ????????? ?? ??????? 2019 ???? ???? ?????????? ????????? ???????:
| ?????? | ???????? | ????? |
|---|---|---|
| ?????? (+1) | 37 |
|
| ????????? (+1) | 32 | |
| ???????? (–1) | 15 | |
| ???????? ? ??????? | 12 | |
| ?????? | 11 | |
| ?????? | 10 | |
| ????? | 9 | |
| ??-??????? , ??????? , ?????????? ??????? ? ???-??????? | 8 | |
| ??????? (–1) , ??????? , ?????????? , ?????-????-??-???????? ? ???????? | 7 | |
| ???????? , ??????? , ??????? , ?????? , ???????? , ????????? ? ?????? | 6 | |
| ????????? , ????????? , ??????-????? , ?????? , ???? , ??????? ? ?????????? | 5 | |
| ????? , ????????? , ?????? , ??????? , ???? , ?????? , ???? , ?????? , ??-????? ? ????????? | 4 | |
| ????? , ?????? , ??????????? , ????? , ???????? , ??????? , ??????? ? ?????? | 3 | |
| ????? | 2 | |
| ????? ? ??????? | 1 |
???????????
?????? ? ???????
???????????? ????????
??????
? ??????? ???? ????????? ?????????? ???????????? ??????? ????????????? ?????? ? ?????????????? ?????????? ???????? ? ???????? ??????????????? ???????, ????????? ????? ????????? ???????. ??????????, ??? ???????, ??????????? ?? ?????????? ????? ??????? ? ???????????, ? ?? ????? ??? ????????? ???????????? ? ????????? ? ???????? «?? ????», ? ????? ??, ??????? ?? ???????? ??????????, ????? ????????????? ? ??????????? ?? ????????????? ???????????. ????? ????????, ???????? ???????????? ???? ???????? ??????? ???????. ??????? ???? ?????????? ??????, ? ?? ???? ??????????. ???? ????? ???? ??????????, ??????? ???? ??????????. ????? ??????? ??????? ? ?????? ?????? ???????????? ?????? ??????? ? ??????? ?????? ???????? ?????????. ??????? ?????? ?????????? ??????? ????? ????? ???????? ???????? ? ?????????? ??????? . ???? ?????????? ????? ?? ?????????? ?????? ??? ?????-???? ?? ??????, ?????? ???? ??????, ??????????????? ??????? ?????? ???????? ??????. ??????-??????? ?????? ???????? ?????-????? , ??????-??????? — ?????, ??????????? ????? ???? ???????????? ??????? ?????????? ?????? ??????? ????????????? ??????, ??????-?????? — ?????????????? ????????.
| ??????????? | ???? |
??????????
?????????? |
???? |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
????? | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ????? ??????? 2019 ???? | 28 ?????? 2019 | N/A | 75,8 |
16.7
|
28.7
|
14.3
|
15.9
|
3.9
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
10.3
|
0.7
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
12.0 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 28 ?????? 2019 | 4300 | ? |
19.3
|
25.3
|
14.5
|
15.0
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
13.0
|
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
6.0 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 25—27 ?????? 2019 | 3600 | ? |
17.9
|
27.9
|
16.5
|
16.0
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
— |
0.9
|
0.3
|
11.0
|
0.5
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
10.0 | |
| IMOP/COPE | 25—27 ?????? 2019 | 4200 | ? |
18.3
|
26.8
|
16.8
|
14.2
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
— |
0.9
|
0.3
|
12.7
|
0.6
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
8.5 | |
| GAD3/RTVE | 12—27 ?????? 2019 | 12 000 | ? |
17.8
|
28.1
|
16.1
|
14.4
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
— |
0.7
|
0.3
|
12.4
|
0.5
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
10.3 | |
| El Español | 26 ?????? 2019 | ? | ? |
18.0-
19.0 |
27.0-
28.0 |
15.0-
17.0 |
15.0-
16.5 |
— | — | — | — | — |
11.0-
12.0 |
— | — | — | 9.0 | |
| Podemos | 26 ?????? 2019 | ? | ? | 15.0 | 30.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 15.0 | — | — | — | 15.0 | |
| Demoscopia Servicios/OKDiario | 26 ?????? 2019 | ? | ? |
21.7
|
27.2
|
12.3
|
15.4
|
— | — | — | — | — |
13.3
|
— | — | — | 5.5 | |
| PSOE | 25 ?????? 2019 | ? | ? |
15.0-
17.0 |
30.0-
31.0 |
? | ? | — | — | — | — | — |
13.0-
16.0 |
— | — | — |
13.0-
15.0 |
|
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—25 ?????? 2019 | 11 000 | ? |
20.2
|
25.3
|
14.6
|
15.0
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
12.3
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
5.1 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—24 ?????? 2019 | 11 000 | ? |
20.1
|
25.6
|
14.1
|
15.1
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
12.4
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
5.5 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—23 ?????? 2019 | 11 000 | ? |
19.9
|
26.2
|
13.5
|
15.1
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
12.4
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
6.3 | |
| KeyData/Público | 22 ?????? 2019 | ? | 67.7 |
20.4
|
29.4
|
13.1
|
15.3
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
— |
0.9
|
0.4
|
10.4
|
?/? |
1.5
|
?
|
9.0 | |
| Demoscopia Servicios/OKDiario | 17-22 ?????? 2019 | ? | ? |
21.8
|
28.1
|
12.6
|
14.4
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
— |
0.9
|
0.3
|
12.7
|
1.1
|
1.3
|
?/? | 6.3 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—22 ?????? 2019 | 11 000 | ? |
19.5
|
27.2
|
12.8
|
15.0
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
12.4
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
7.7 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 14—21 ?????? 2019 | 1,800 | ? |
18.2
|
29.5
|
13.6
|
15.1
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
12.6
|
1.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
11.3 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—21 ?????? 2019 | 11 000 | ? |
19.9
|
27.4
|
12.4
|
14.4
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
12.5
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
7.5 | |
| Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es | 15—20 ?????? 2019 | 1100 | 68.3 |
23.5
|
28.9
|
13.5
|
15.1
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
7.9
|
1.3
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
5.4 | |
| IMOP/El Confidencial | 14—20 ?????? 2019 | 1400 | 70.0 |
19.8
|
29.8
|
14.1
|
15.1
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
1.8
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
10.0
|
0.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
10.0 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 13—20 ?????? 2019 | 1800 | ? |
18.4
|
30.0
|
13.7
|
15.5
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
11.8
|
1.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
11.6 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—20 ?????? 2019 | 10 800 | ? |
19.9
|
27.5
|
12.3
|
14.3
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
12.5
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
7.6 | |
| Invymark/laSexta | 15—19 ?????? 2019 | ? | ? | 20.4 | 28.1 | 13.0 | 15.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | — | — | — | 12.7 | — | 1.3 | — | 7.7 | |
| NC Report/La Razón | 15—19 ?????? 2019 | 1000 | 68.9 |
23.8
|
28.1
|
13.0
|
14.9
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
— |
0.8
|
0.3
|
9.0
|
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
4.3 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 12—19 ?????? 2019 | 1800 | ? |
18.5
|
30.5
|
13.8
|
15.9
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
10.9
|
0.8
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
12.0 | |
| GAD3/ABC | 1—19 ?????? 2019 | 10 000 | ? |
20.1
|
31.5
|
12.1
|
13.9
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
11.4
|
0.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
11.4 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—19 ?????? 2019 | 10 700 | ? |
20.1
|
27.6
|
12.4
|
14.2
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
12.5
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
7.5 | |
| Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario | 15—18 ?????? 2019 | 950 | ? |
21.6
|
28.4
|
12.7
|
14.7
|
2.4
|
1.4
|
— |
0.9
|
0.3
|
12.4
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
?/? | 6.8 | |
| 40 dB/El País | 15—18 ?????? 2019 | 2000 | ? |
17.8
|
28.8
|
13.2
|
14.1
|
3.3
|
1.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
12.5
|
0.9
|
1.9
|
— | 11.0 | |
| Sondaxe/La Voz de Galicia | 11—18 ?????? 2019 | 1000 | ? |
18.3
|
30.9
|
13.6
|
13.8
|
2.8
|
2.1
|
— |
0.8
|
0.4
|
10.5
|
— |
1.5
|
0.3
|
12.6 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 11—18 ?????? 2019 | 1800 | ? |
18.6
|
31.0
|
13.4
|
15.5
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
11.0
|
0.6
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
12.4 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—18 ?????? 2019 | 10 600 | ? |
20.3
|
27.6
|
12.4
|
14.3
|
2.8
|
1.4
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
12.4
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
7.3 | |
| PP | 17 ?????? 2019 | ? | ? | 19.0 | 30.0 | 12.5 | 12.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 11.0 | — | — | — | 11.0 | |
| DYM/El Independiente | 15—17 ?????? 2019 | 1025 | ? |
20.4
|
29.0
|
13.7
|
15.5
|
— | — | — | — | — |
10.4
|
— | — | — | 8.6 | |
| Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es | 11—17 ?????? 2019 | 1100 | ? |
23.8
|
28.1
|
12.9
|
15.8
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
7.7
|
1.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
4.3 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 10—17 ?????? 2019 | 1800 | ? |
18.7
|
30.8
|
13.1
|
15.8
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
10.6
|
0.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
12.1 | |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo | 3—17 ?????? 2019 | 8000 | ? |
20.1
|
30.3
|
13.2
|
15.0
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
— | — | — |
10.2
|
— |
1.3
|
— | 10.2 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—17 ?????? 2019 | 10 200 | ? |
20.4
|
27.7
|
12.4
|
14.6
|
2.7
|
1.4
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
12.0
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
7.3 | |
| Metroscopia/Henneo | 11—16 ?????? 2019 | 4775 | ? |
19.6
|
29.1
|
14.3
|
14.2
|
?
|
?
|
— |
?
|
?
|
11.1
|
?
|
?
|
?
|
9.5 | |
| IMOP/El Confidencial | 10—16 ?????? 2019 | 1400 | 71.0 |
19.3
|
30.4
|
13.5
|
15.3
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
9.6
|
0.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
11.1 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 9—16 ?????? 2019 | 1800 | ? |
18.8
|
30.5
|
12.7
|
16.0
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
1.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
10.9
|
0.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
11.7 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—16 ?????? 2019 | 10 200 | ? |
20.2
|
28.2
|
12.4
|
15.3
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
11.5
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
8.0 | |
| Top Position | 13—15 ?????? 2019 | 1200 | ? |
22.3
|
27.8
|
12.2
|
13.1
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
— | — | — |
14.2
|
— |
1.6
|
— | 5.5 | |
| Demoscopia Servicios/OKDiario | 12—15 ?????? 2019 | ? | ? |
21.3
|
28.9
|
12.8
|
14.9
|
2.3
|
1.5
|
— |
1.2
|
?
|
12.2
|
?
|
1.3
|
?/? | 7.6 | |
| GAD3/ABC | 9—15 ?????? 2019 | 2000 | ? |
20.9
|
31.3
|
12.3
|
13.2
|
— | — | — | — | — |
11.8
|
— | — | — | 10.4 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 8—15 ?????? 2019 | 1800 | ? |
19.0
|
30.2
|
13.2
|
15.7
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
11.0
|
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
11.2 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—15 ?????? 2019 | 10 100 | ? |
20.2
|
28.2
|
12.3
|
15.1
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
11.5
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
8.0 | |
| KeyData/Público | 14 ?????? 2019 | ? | 65.2 |
20.8
|
28.8
|
13.5
|
15.6
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
— |
0.9
|
0.3
|
9.8
|
?/? |
1.6
|
?
|
8.0 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—14 ?????? 2019 | 10 000 | ? |
20.0
|
28.1
|
12.1
|
15.3
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
11.1
|
1.3
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
8.1 | |
| NC Report/La Razón | 9—13 ?????? 2019 | 1000 | 66.5 |
24.1
|
27.5
|
12.1
|
15.8
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
— |
0.8
|
0.3
|
9.1
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
3.4 | |
| IMOP/El Confidencial | 7—13 ?????? 2019 | 1410 | 70.0 |
18.6
|
31.0
|
13.4
|
15.8
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
2.0
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
9.5
|
0.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
12.4 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 5—12 ?????? 2019 | 1800 | ? |
19.1
|
29.9
|
13.0
|
15.4
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
1.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
11.2
|
0.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
10.8 | |
| GAD3/La Vanguardia | 9—11 ?????? 2019 | 1800 | 71.0 |
21.0
|
31.1
|
11.4
|
14.4
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
11.2
|
0.5
|
1.2
|
?/? | 10.1 | |
| Demoscopia Servicios/ESdiario | 8—11 ?????? 2019 | 920 | ? |
20.8
|
27.9
|
13.2
|
16.6
|
2.3
|
1.5
|
— |
1.1
|
0.2
|
11.7
|
1.0
|
1.2
|
?/? | 7.1 | |
| Invymark/laSexta | 8—11 ?????? 2019 | ? | ? | 20.8 | 27.1 | 13.2 | 16.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 12.7 | — | — | — | 6.3 | |
| Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es | 4—10 ?????? 2019 | 1100 | ? |
23.9
|
27.3
|
13.1
|
15.9
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
7.8
|
1.5
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
3.4 | |
| GAD3/ABC | 8—9 ?????? 2019 | 2000 | ? |
21.3
|
30.9
|
12.0
|
13.5
|
?
|
?
|
— |
?
|
?
|
11.2
|
?
|
?
|
?
|
9.6 | |
| IMOP/El Confidencial | 3—9 ?????? 2019 | 1407 | 70.7 |
19.4
|
31.0
|
13.2
|
16.0
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
?
|
9.8
|
0.8
|
1.3
|
?
|
11.6 | |
| electoPanel/electomania.es | 22 ???????—7 ?????? 2019 | 9600 | ? |
20.1
|
27.4
|
11.9
|
15.6
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
10.6
|
1.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
7.3 | |
| NC Report/La Razón | 2—6 ?????? 2019 | 1000 | 66.3 |
24.0
|
26.9
|
12.3
|
16.1
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
— |
0.8
|
0.3
|
9.4
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
2.9 | |
| IMOP/El Confidencial | 31 ?????—6 ?????? 2019 | 1440 | 72.0 |
20.0
|
31.5
|
12.9
|
15.5
|
3.2
|
1.3
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
?
|
9.3
|
0.6
|
1.2
|
?
|
11.5 | |
| Simple Lógica | 1—5 ?????? 2019 | 1,054 | 73.7 | 16.7 | 30.5 | 14.4 | 15.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 9.8 | — | — | — | 13.8 | |
| GESOP/El Periódico | 1—5 ?????? 2019 | 1500 | ? |
21.0
|
29.8
|
12.0
|
14.5
|
?
|
— | — | — | — |
10.6
|
— |
?
|
— | 8.8 | |
| SocioMétrica/El Español | 29 ?????—5 ?????? 2019 | 1800 | ? |
19.4
|
30.1
|
12.3
|
15.1
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
10.6
|
1.0
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
10.7 | |
| GAD3/ABC | 26 ?????—4 ?????? 2019 | 4000 | ? |
20.9
|
31.1
|
11.5
|
14.9
|
?
|
?
|
— |
?
|
?
|
9.8
|
?
|
?
|
?
|
10.2 | |
| Celeste-Tel/eldiario.es | 26 ?????—3 ?????? 2019 | 1100 | ? |
23.6
|
27.2
|
12.2
|
15.7
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
8.7
|
1.6
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
3.6 | |
| KeyData/Público | 2 ?????? 2019 | ? | 68.9 |
20.6
|
28.7
|
13.7
|
16.0
|
2.9
|
1.2
|
— |
0.8
|
0.2
|
10.8
|
?/? |
1.4
|
?/? | 8.1 | |
| IMOP/El Confidencial | 27 ?????—2 ?????? 2019 | 1431 | 69.0 |
20.8
|
30.0
|
13.9
|
14.8
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
1.5
|
1.0
|
?
|
9.6
|
0.5
|
1.1
|
?
|
9.2 | |
??????????
????????
|
|||||||
| ?????? ? ???????? | ???????? ??????????? | ????? | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ?????? | % | ± | ?????? | +/? | |||
| ???? | 7 480 755 | 28,68 | +6,05 | 123 | +38 | ||
| ???????? ?????? | 4 356 023 | 16,70 | ?15,87 | 66 | ?69 | ||
| ??????????? ?????? | 4 136 600 | 15,86 | +2,68 | 57 | +25 | ||
| ??????? | 3 732 929 | 14,31 | ?5,4 | 42 | ?24 | ||
| ???? | 2 677 173 | 10,26 | +10,06 | 24 | +24 | ||
| ??????????????? ????? ????????? | 1 019 558 | 3,91 | +1,28 | 15 | +6 | ||
| ?????? ?? ????????? | 497 638 | 1,91 | ?0,1 | 7 | ?1 | ||
| ???????? ???????????? ?????? | 394 627 | 1,51 | +0,32 | 6 | +1 | ||
| ?????? ?????? ???????? | 326 045 | 1,25 | +0,06 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| ???????? ???????? | 258 840 | 0,99 | +0,22 | 4 | +2 | ||
| ?????????? 2019 | 172 751 | 0,66 | ????? | 1 | +1 | ||
| ????????? ???????????? | 137 196 | 0,53 | +0,2 | 2 | +1 | ||
| ???????????? -????????????? — ?????? | 113 008 | 0,43 | ????? | 0 | ±0 | ||
| ??????? ??? (???????? ?? , ???????, ???) | 107 124 | 0,41 | ?0,12 | 2 | ±0 | ||
| ??????????? ???????????? ???? | 93 810 | 0,36 | +0,17 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| ??????????????? ?????? ????????? | 52 197 | 0,2 | ????? | 1 | +1 | ||
| ????-??????? | 46 487 | 0,18 | ?0,04 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| ????? ?????? | 36 193 | 0,14 | ????? | 0 | ±0 | ||
| ??? | 30 448 | 0,12 | ????? | 0 | ±0 | ||
| ???????????? | 25 384 | 0,1 | ????? | 0 | ±0 | ||
| ?? ??????? | 22 150 | 0,08 | +0,02 | 0 | ±0 | ||
| (PUM+J) | 21 711 | 0,08 | ????? | 0 | ±0 | ||
| ?? ????? | 17 726 | 0,07 | ?1,37 | 0 | ?5 | ||
| ????????????? | |||||||
| ????? | 350 | ±0 | |||||
| ?????????????? ?????? | |||||||
| ???????????????? ?????? | |||||||
| ???????????/ ???? | |||||||
| ???????????? | |||||||
| ???????????????? | 36 893 976 | ||||||
| ???????? | |||||||
|
|||||||
?????
|
|||||||
| ?????? ? ???????? | ??????? ?????????? | ??????? ? ?????????? | ????? | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ????? | +/? | ||||||
| ???? | 121 | +79 | 18 | 139 | |||
| ?? | 3 | +3 | 1 | 4 | |||
| ???????? ?????? | 56 | ?71 | 19 | 75 | |||
| ?? | 0 | ?1 | 0 | 0 | |||
| ??????? | 0 | ?11 | 6 | 6 | |||
| ??? | 0 | ?3 | 1 | 1 | |||
| ??????????????? ????? | 11 | +1 | 1 | 12 | |||
| ??????????? ?????? | 4 | +4 | 6 | 10 | |||
| ?????? ?? ????????? | 2 | ±0 | 2 | 4 | |||
| ?????????? | 0 | ±0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| ???????? ????????? | 9 | +4 | 1 | 10 | |||
| ??????? ??? | 3 | +2 | 0 | 3 | |||
| ?? | 1 | +1 | 1 | 2 | |||
| (EA) | 0 | ±0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| ?????? ?????????? | 1 | ±0 | 0 | 1 | |||
| ???? | 0 | ±0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| ?????? | 0 | ?1 | 1 | 1 | |||
| ?????? ???? | 0 | ±0 | 1 | 1 | |||
| ????? | 208 | ±0 | 57 | 265 | |||
| ???????? | |||||||
|
|||||||
????? ???????
??????????
- . BBC (????.) . 2017-10-27. ?? ????????? 30 ?????? 2019 . ???? ?????????: 26 ?????? 2019 .
- Meler, Isaac (????.) . Catalan Monitor (22 ??????? 2017). ???? ?????????: 26 ?????? 2019. ???????????? ?? 17 ???????? 2018 ????.
- . AP (????.) . 2018-03-17. ?? ????????? 30 ?????? 2019 . ???? ?????????: 26 ?????? 2019 .
- de Miguel, Rafa (2018-01-17). . El País (????.) . Madrid. ?? ????????? 30 ?????? 2019 . ???? ?????????: 26 ?????? 2019 .
- . The Spain Report (????.) . 2018-03-05. ?? ????????? 19 ????? 2018 . ???? ?????????: 18 ????? 2018 .
- Jones, Sam (2018-05-24). . The Guardian (????.) . ?? ????????? 26 ?????? 2019 . ???? ?????????: 26 ?????? 2019 .
- ? Cortizo, Gonzalo (2018-05-25). . El Diario (???.) . ?? ????????? 25 ??????? 2018 . ???? ?????????: 26 ?????? 2019 .
- Jones, Sam (2018-06-01). . The Guardian (????.) . ?? ????????? 1 ???? 2018 . ???? ?????????: 26 ?????? 2019 .
- Marisol Hernández (2018-06-05). . El Mundo (???.) . ?? ????????? 9 ?????? 2020 . ???? ?????????: 26 ?????? 2019 .
- Sara de Diego, Ángel Collado (2018-06-05). . El Confidencial (???.) . ?? ????????? 24 ??????? 2020 . ???? ?????????: 26 ?????? 2019 .
- Natalia Junquera (2018-07-21). . El País (???.) . ?? ????????? 5 ????? 2021 . ???? ?????????: 26 ?????? 2019 .
- . El Periódico de Catalunya (???.) . 2019-02-13. ?? ????????? 26 ?????? 2019 . ???? ?????????: 14 ?????? 2019 .
- Clara Pinar. (???.) . 20minutos.es - Últimas Noticias (15 ??????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
- Carlos E. Cué. (???.) . El País (15 ??????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. 2 ?????? 2019 ????.
- Redacción. (???.) . BBC News (15 ??????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
- Belén Carreño (2019-02-13). . Reuters (????.) . ?? ????????? 13 ??????? 2019 . ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019 .
- José Precedo, Irene Castro (2019-02-13). . El Diario (???.) . ?? ????????? 2 ?????? 2019 . ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019 .
- Anabel Díez, Javier Casqueiro (2019-02-13). . El País (???.) . ?? ????????? 13 ??????? 2019 . ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019 .
- Maria Menendez (2019-02-15). . RTVE (???.) . ?? ????????? 1 ?????? 2019 . ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019 .
- (???.) . Congreso.es . ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. 27 ?????? 2016 ????.
- ? (???.) . Senado.es . ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. 23 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Europa Press (20 ???? 2016). ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. 17 ??????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Europa Press (28 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. 19 ????? 2019 ????.
- (????.) . Trinity College Dublin (30 ???? 2017). ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. ???????????? ?? 30 ???? 2017 ????.
- ? (???.) . BOE.es . ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. 1 ????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (28 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 30 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Español (28 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . COPE (28 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Europa Press (28 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 30 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . RTVE (28 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 1 ??? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . eldiario.es (28 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Español (28 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Servimedia (26 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 6 ??????? 2020 ????.
- (???.) . Qué (26 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 27 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . OKDiario (26 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Libertad Digital (25 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 26 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Huffington Post (25 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 27 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Libertad Digital (26 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 27 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (26 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (25 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 27 ????? 2022. 24 ?????? 2021 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (24 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 27 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Público (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 1 ??? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . OKDiario (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 23 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (23 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 26 ?????? 2019 ????.
- ? (???.) . El Español (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 23 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Español (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 23 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 26 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . eldiario.es (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 27 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Confidencial (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 22 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (21 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 25 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . laSexta (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 24 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . La Razón (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 23 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . La Razón (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. ???????????? ?? 22 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . ABC (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (20 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 23 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . ESdiario (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 23 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El País (20 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 3 ??? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El País (20 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . La Voz de Galicia (21 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 22 ?????? 2019 ????.
- ? (???.) . El Español (19 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 20 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (19 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 23 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Periódico de Catalunya (17 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 19 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Independiente (21 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 21 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . eldiario.es (19 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 25 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Mundo (20 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 30 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (18 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 21 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . 20minutos (22 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 23 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Confidencial (19 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 19 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Español (17 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 17 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (17 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 20 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Top Position (17 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 17 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . OKDiario (17 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 18 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . ABC (17 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 7 ??? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (16 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 19 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Público (14 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 1 ??? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (15 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 18 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . La Razón (15 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 17 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Confidencial (15 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 17 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Confidencial (15 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 16 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Español (15 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 17 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . La Vanguardia (13 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 16 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . GAD3 (14 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 19 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . ESdiario (15 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 17 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . laSexta (12 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 17 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . eldiario.es (11 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 13 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . ABC (11 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 12 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Confidencial (11 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 11 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . electomania.es (8 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 14 ??? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . La Razón (8 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 8 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Confidencial (8 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 8 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Simple Lógica (10 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 10 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Periódico de Catalunya (7 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 8 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . ABC (7 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 12 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . eldiario.es (5 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 11 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Público (2 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 1 ??? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . El Confidencial (4 ?????? 2019). ???? ?????????: 30 ?????? 2019. 6 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Interior Ministry. ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. ???????????? ?? 29 ?????? 2019 ????.
- (???.) . Interior Ministry. ???? ?????????: 28 ?????? 2019. ???????????? ?? 28 ?????? 2019 ????.
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cathleen
- 2020-04-10
- 1
